Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1279.145257 1451.421110 1641.892890 1868.710463 2132.236432 2429.689410 2792.163122
2025-10-26 1016.535067 1245.019717 1520.853146 1880.947444 2342.394143 2918.931089 3701.712567
2025-11-02 890.384864 1147.228940 1476.118892 1933.345374 2560.753383 3403.548978 4641.963046
2025-11-09 793.503064 1064.355315 1427.904710 1959.765608 2731.890923 3833.941905 5566.303888
2025-11-16 716.968020 994.863990 1383.069959 1976.440536 2881.142584 4243.397841 6518.342849
2025-11-23 657.086764 939.377618 1347.904872 1997.283710 3032.254966 4668.913028 7560.208482
2025-11-30 611.413467 898.110498 1326.627197 2032.852111 3205.912201 5148.659437 8770.354542
2025-12-07 552.106188 829.438415 1255.255494 1978.670070 3223.133481 5367.358491 9555.683936
2025-12-14 501.207855 768.445308 1188.903923 1923.337647 3228.251380 5561.023574 10322.412168
2025-12-21 455.339292 711.025253 1122.283835 1859.037933 3207.432826 5701.470274 11005.525994
2025-12-28 439.096944 700.050736 1130.453812 1924.165469 3427.351971 6320.263570 12777.790220
2026-01-04 418.311926 679.447645 1119.992806 1954.018122 3583.687122 6836.893333 14434.166142
2026-01-11 396.341138 655.664452 1103.021578 1972.335479 3724.954088 7355.355818 16234.078825
2026-01-18 375.559375 632.275458 1084.725502 1986.398578 3860.510865 7886.166910 18193.862367
2026-01-25 362.578472 621.481524 1087.943537 2042.117285 4089.348074 8658.051113 20941.602407
2026-02-01 347.038945 604.635637 1078.158264 2070.257378 4262.298610 9331.589369 23604.075917
2026-02-08 331.548178 586.552698 1064.245359 2088.016241 4414.194997 9980.926864 26371.766628
2026-02-15 317.844628 570.702193 1053.139602 2110.216703 4579.042974 10690.959599 29513.411915
2026-02-22 306.887796 559.220850 1049.559406 2148.106251 4786.149075 11546.795895 33353.861832
2026-03-01 286.962617 528.738282 1005.085867 2090.390875 4752.381685 11757.657919 35178.793664
2026-03-08 268.556517 500.010282 961.991363 2031.465365 4707.997096 11932.620868 36938.566374
2026-03-15 250.696178 471.220019 916.652492 1963.010136 4630.797957 12003.432676 38362.365580
2026-03-22 246.554437 470.009915 929.403024 2032.346828 4923.834931 13203.938533 44307.650204